AUD/USD and EUR/USD Forecast 4 Feb 13




Good day forex traders and koalas.

Welcome to another weekly forecast review of the AUD/USD and EUR/USD. Did you make money last week from forex trading? I do hope so. Always remember that even a 1 pip gain is a profit. Hence never risk excessively to try to chase for more profits.

In the previous forecast review we noted that the AUD/USD faced bearish pressure and if the immediate support fell, 1.0360 might be the next target. EUR/USD on the other hand was testing the resistance of 1.3480. If the currency pair was successful, we might see 1.36 next. Fundamentally we noted continued good sentiments although there were speculations of a possible upcoming interest rate cut by the Reserve Bank of Australia RBA.

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Looking at the AUD/USD daily chart above we do note that the bearish momentum continued. I LOVE IT WHEN MY CHARTS WORK ! As expected, it is proceeding on for a test of the support region of 1.0360. It is usually a strong support and hence we need to monitor the reaction of the currency pair

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Looking at the EUR/USD daily chart above we note a continuing bullish climb. The target of 1.3600 was hit ! I LOVE IT WHEN MY TARGETS WORK. Ok enough of shameless self praise :p Now if this keeps up, we will be looking out for 1.3800.



Fundamental Analysis

As far as this week is concerned, we do have a number of good economic releases. Many of them are from the manufacturing markets of the Euro Zone. These positive developments will definitely boost the attractiveness of the Euro Zone.

The US Non-Farm Payroll performed slightly lesser than the estimated gain in employment. The US unemployment rate has increased to 7.9% and this will probably cause some apprehension. On the contrary, the Euro Zone unemployment rate came in at 11.7%, better than estimates.

Over in Australia we do see continued weakness in sentiments. It was reported that Australian manufacturing had dropped to a low of 3.5 years. Possible reasons mentioned include having the weakness due to the strong Australian dollar affecting attractiveness of exports. Traders are hoping however that the picking up of the Chinese economy will benefit Australia being it’s largest trading
partner.

Next week will bring us many important economic data. This includes the interest rate decision by the Reserve Bank of Australia RBA and European Central Bank ECB.

Trade safely.

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