Author Topic: Daily EUR/USD Analysis from ForexMart  (Read 13047 times)

Offline Andrea ForexMart

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EUR/USD Technical Analysis: August 4, 2017
« Reply #75 on: August 04, 2017, 02:59:26 PM »

The results of the European yields were mixed as it restricted the uptrend of the euro which signifies that Draghi has successfully kept the rates low. The ECB sees the need for the continuous support because of the less than expected result of the PMI. The European retail sales set in stronger than anticipated but this was countered by high jobless claims.

The EUR/USD was not able to surpass yesterday’s range but was able to increase the support level. Nevertheless, the trend persists to be positive with the support close to the 10-day Moving Average at 1.1747. The resistance level is seen close to the weekly highs at 1.1910. 

Overall, the momentum is optimistic with the MACD histogram shown a black indicator with an upward sloping direction that could lead to a higher exchange rate. The RSI positioned higher with the price indicating a positive momentum upward. Currently, the price is set at 77 which is higher than the trigger level 70 to enter the overbought area. Hence, a correction is possible to occur.

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EUR/USD Technical Analysis: August 4, 2017
« Reply #75 on: August 04, 2017, 02:59:26 PM »

Offline Andrea ForexMart

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EUR/USD Technical Analysis: August 10, 2017
« Reply #76 on: August 10, 2017, 05:41:38 PM »

The Euro against the U.S. dollar moved sideways during the Wednesday session and consolidates higher than the 1.17 level. If a breakout occurs higher than the 1.1765 level, the trend goes climb higher.

For long-term, the trend has not successfully declined enough to sustain the level. There have been two impulsive moves headed downward and there is a chance for this to further decline. If a breaks down lower than the 1.1680 level, the price could further go down towards 1.16 level.
There is significant volatility in the market as it abruptly moves sideways and adjusted higher or lower as traders have made an unexpected move. During this time of the year, there is usually low liquidity since most senior is a holiday in big trading desks. Hence, this leaves the market a bit dormant.

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EUR/USD Technical Analysis: September 6, 2017
« Reply #77 on: September 06, 2017, 04:46:15 PM »

The EURUSD moved sideways during the opening of Tuesday’s session, however, Americans have returned to market and bought the single European currency. Another attempt to touch the level 1.20 was made and expected to offer some psychological resistance. As it may be a reversal of the risk off sentiment that was felt across the board. Nevertheless, Americans are planning to embrace the risk on attitude within the currency markets.

The weakness of the greens were generally seen, hence the euro-dollar pair attracted further gains. A close over the 1.20 region based on a daily close has the potential to push the market higher in the longer-term and the targets remains on top of 1.25 level.

Pullbacks keep on buying opportunities and later on will obtain an impulsive trend to move upwards. But, it should be noted that the 1.20 area is highly significant. Several opportunities could probably appear, however patience is very necessary to find the pullbacks which could provide signals when is the best timing to be involved in the market.


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Re: Daily EUR/USD Analysis from ForexMart
« Reply #78 on: September 13, 2017, 02:53:31 PM »
EUR/USD Technical Analysis: September 13, 2017

European yields increased again together with the stabilization of risk appetite and revival of the global stock market that keeps buoying the EURUSD pair.

Eurozone peripherals had performed better while the European Central Bank assures for a cautious move as it prepares to ease off the stimulator. Meanwhile, the chain store sales of the United States declined after the destructive hurricanes Harvey and Irma that are predicted to put pressure on the national figures for this week.

The German economic ministry anticipates slow growth in the H2, which implies that employment growth might curb sentiment.

The euro-dollar pair formed another Doji day showing the opening and closing level were at the same point reflecting an indecision. The support highlighted the 1.1937 level close to the 10-day moving average. While the resistance came in at 1.2092 near the September peaks.

The momentum is in the neutral position and the MACD (moving average convergence divergence) indicator prints around the zero index level linked with a flat trajectory that shows some consolidation. Moreover, the  RSI (relative strength index) known to be a momentum oscillator that assesses the increasing or decreasing momentum. The index prints a reading of 59 in the middle of the neutral range, which also indicates further consolidation.

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Re: Daily EUR/USD Analysis from ForexMart
« Reply #79 on: September 19, 2017, 05:14:08 PM »
EUR/USD Technical Analysis: September 19, 2017

The euro-dollar pair remained almost unchanged as it stayed in the level 1.1953 under the 10-day moving average. On the other hand, the inflation came in at 1.5% which is lower the 2% target of the European Central Bank. Now, traders’ attention was turned to the Fed Reserve meeting on September 19 and 20, but there is no any expectations for the meeting. Moreover, the Fed had mentioned some ways in managing the bond purchase program. Contrarily, the Bundesbank assumes that growth will slow down in the second half of the fiscal year.

The EURUSD consolidated prior the meeting of the Federal Reserve which is scheduled tomorrow. The pair’s support hit the 1.1834 mark which is seen around the lows of the previous week. The resistance highlighted the region 1.2092 around the highs last week.

The momentum maintained a negative stance while the MACD (moving average convergence divergence) indicator prints in the red with a descending trajectory, pointing to lower exchange rate.

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Re: Daily EUR/USD Analysis from ForexMart
« Reply #80 on: September 20, 2017, 02:59:47 PM »
EUR/USD Technical Analysis: September 20, 2017

The currency pair EUR/USD was able to make some slight improvement during the trading session yesterday, however, the pair resumed the consolidation prior the meeting of the Fed Reserve scheduled on Thursday.

The German Zew Investor confidence had increased which buoyed the euro-dollar pair, but the attention of the traders are centered towards the Federal Reserve. When they mentioned about quantitative tightening during the meeting, it would likely that the U.S. import prices will rise more than 2% year over year.

The EURUSD remained to sit on the 10-day moving average, and continued consolidating before the Fed meeting tomorrow. The pair’s support touched the 1.1834 level around the lows last week. On one side, the resistance entered the 1.2092 region near the highs of the previous week.

Moreover, prices seem to generate a bull flag formation serves a pause that refreshes upwards. The negative momentum is moving downwards while the MACD (moving average convergence divergence) index is printing in the red showing an ascending trajectory that reflects for further consolidation.

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Re: Daily EUR/USD Analysis from ForexMart
« Reply #81 on: September 21, 2017, 02:21:08 PM »
EUR/USD Technical Analysis: September 21, 2017

The EURUSD trailed downwards during Wednesday's trading session after the release of Federal Research report as the central bank maintained interest rates. Moreover, the Fed Reserve announced that they progress with the quantitative tightening with an amount of 600 billion approximately, which is related to balance sheet reduction every year.

The FOMC also mentioned another rate increase scheduled presumably in December. Among 16 Fed members, there are 11 who voted for a hike this year. According to forecasts made by the officials, it might extend until next year to attain the neutral rate level of Fed funds. The Federal Reserve System gradually approach the issue about the three-time hike in 2019 and 2020 and the long-term rate was lowered down to 2.75%, with the previously 3.0%.

The euro-dollar pair weakened after the dollar made some progress along with the increase of yields. The support lies at 1.1834 region around the lows last week while resistance can be found at 1.2092 level near the previous highs.

The RSI (relative strength index) which functions as a momentum oscillator measuring the performance of the momentum, whether it will accelerate or decelerate. The indicator broke the support which shows an ascending negative momentum. On the other hand, the MACD histogram prints in the red, reflecting a downward trajectory that leads to a lower exchange rate.


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Re: Daily EUR/USD Analysis from ForexMart
« Reply #82 on: November 08, 2017, 02:13:38 PM »
EUR/USD Technical Analysis: November 8, 2017

The EURUSD pair had a dipped again during the early trade behind weaker than expected production figures from Germany, the data also declined in September. The retail PMI in the European region dropped but retail sales further softened. Meanwhile, Chain Store Sales in the United States had bounced back in the recent week and the Loan Officers survey of U.S. presented standards easing.

Moreover, the euro-dollar pair drove lower and tested the 1.5050 level.The pair bounced back in the late session and failed to reacquire the 1.16 handle. The resistance can be found at 1.1722 region near the 20-day moving average. The prices resumed forming a  head and shoulder reversal pattern with the neckline with a gapped at 1.1660 zone. The target support can be estimated by subtracting the neckline above the 1.1160 head. The momentum sustained its negative stance. The MACD histogram prints in the red, showing a descending trajectory towards a lower exchange rate.

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Re: Daily EUR/USD Analysis from ForexMart
« Reply #83 on: November 10, 2017, 02:31:32 PM »
EUR/USD Technical Analysis: November 10, 2017

The single European currency paired with the U.S. dollar drove higher during Thursday session since the trade surplus in Germany has expanded, while the U.S. initial claims rebounded. Moreover, the German growth is predicted to overcome its previous outlook as the inflation is projected to remain muted capping the upside in the pair.

The EURUSD had moved upwards and pushed back on top of the 1.1625 level near around the 10-day moving average, which serves as a support in the short-term. Further support hits the 1.1550 weekly lows. A close over the 1.17 region could possibly negate the formation and triggered consolidation. The negative momentum was seen declining as the MACD (moving average convergence divergence) indicator is printing in the red, linked with an ascending trajectory that gives signs of consolidation.

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Re: Daily EUR/USD Analysis from ForexMart
« Reply #84 on: November 16, 2017, 01:50:58 PM »
EUR/USD Technical Analysis: November 16, 2017

The euro against the U.S. dollar rallied higher during the beginning of the trade session for five succeeding days and being tested for a 1-month high. The market failed to maintain the current rate as the greenback gathered momentum amid a risk aversion situation. The U.S. data came out positively even better than anticipated. The retail sales data came in higher as well as the CPI report, which supported the U.S. yields and raised the rate of the dollar.

The EUR/USD climbed higher as it reaches close to the October high at the level of 1.1858. The exchange rate has reached once again the 50-day moving average at the level of 1.1786, which is currently the short-term support in the trend. Additional support was found close to the 10-day moving average at 1.1663. The impetus of the currency pair has been moving at a good pace as the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) index initiating a buy signal. This happened as the MACD line, which is the 12-day exponential moving average (EMA) minus the 26-day EMA, crossed higher than the MACD signal line found at the 9-day exponential moving average of the MACD line.

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Re: Daily EUR/USD Analysis from ForexMart
« Reply #85 on: November 22, 2017, 11:55:19 AM »
EUR/USD Technical Analysis: November 21, 2017

The single European currency paired with the US Dollar descended and resumed to create a mini-bull flag formation, however, the fundamental and political events coincided against the EURUSD yesterday. The German PPI came in weaker than expected while the failed plan of Merkel to generate a coalition placed pressure to the EUR/USD.

The currency pair currently trades sideways and stayed around the 1.1800 region, after being pushed downwards amid earlier trading hours to test the 1.1704 support area close to the 10-day moving average. The short-term resistance entered the mark 1.1771 around the 50- day moving average. The positive momentum declined as the MACD (moving average convergence divergence) histogram prints in the black. The trajectory of the indicator appears to be negative which implies consolidation towards the pair. The RSI also traded sideways showing a reading of 52 fixed in the middle of the neutral range. It further suggests consolidation.

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Re: Daily EUR/USD Analysis from ForexMart
« Reply #86 on: November 22, 2017, 02:39:58 PM »
EUR/USD Technical Analysis: November 22, 2017

The EUR/USD pair was traded in a narrow range during the shortened week because of the holiday that affects both America and Japan on Thursday. The dollar gained momentum at the beginning following a positive home sales report that boosted the U.S. greater than 2 percent.

The U.S. Chicago Fed National Activity index rose in October as well as the Retail store sales in the past week which is due to the busy holiday season.

The euro major pair rebounded at the support level close to the 10-day Moving Average at 1.1718 which stays afloat higher than the neckline of the head and shoulder pattern. Although, it was not able to initiate liquidation for long-term. There is a resistance found close to the

November highs at 1.1860. The forward momentum is declining as the MACD histogram print is in black with a southward trajectory which could lead to the consolidation of the pair.

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Re: Daily EUR/USD Analysis from ForexMart
« Reply #87 on: November 27, 2017, 03:43:37 PM »
EUR/USD Technical Analysis: November 27, 2017

Most of the economies appeared to have an optimistic situation, however, political concerns that affect Europe especially the argument on German politics that heightened concerns over the nearing elections in Hungary, Italy, and Spain. Nevertheless, the Brexit negotiations are completely on track and conducted a significant move forward. According to reports, the United Kingdom offered further deal to clear the way for the European Council to comply with the initial transition and trade talks on December 14-15 summit.

The long transitional period and initial clarification towards the future relationship between Britain and the European Union seems to be essential for business plans and investments to increase. The EUR/USD pair broke out as Brexit talks could possibly advance and pushes the rate higher and plans to test resistance at 1.2092 level around September highs. The support is at 1.2092 region near the 10-day moving average. The positive momentum moved upwards as the relative strength index (RSI) broke out and climbed higher. It prints a reading of 69 which is located on the upper end of the neutral range heading to a higher exchange rate for the eurodollar. The momentum showed by the MACD histogram trailed upwards as the indicator prints in the black with an ascending trajectory which indicates to higher rates of prices.

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Re: Daily EUR/USD Analysis from ForexMart
« Reply #88 on: December 01, 2017, 10:54:58 AM »
EUR/USD Technical Analysis: November 29, 2017

The Euro paired against the U.S. dollar declined once again since the upsurge during the Friday trading session. The German IFO came out better-than-expected was counterbalanced by a steadfast consumer confidence which pushed the OECD with the tendency that overestimated the potential growth of Europe.

The EUR/USD pair declined as it tested the support level close to the 10-day moving average at 1.1818. The resistance level reached close to the September highs of 1.2092.  The momentum persists in a good condition as shown in the MACD histogram where the print is black with an upward sloping trajectory that will most likely lead to higher exchange quotes. The head and shoulder reversal pattern was not successful as the peak reached at a neckline close to 1.1660. The latest upsurge has contradicted the reversal.


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Re: Daily EUR/USD Analysis from ForexMart
« Reply #89 on: December 01, 2017, 12:33:24 PM »
EUR/USD Technical Analysis: December 1, 2017

The EUR/USD pair rose because of strong yields as it gained strength after inflation from France and a positive Chinese PMI manufacturing data. The Eurozone inflation came our dovish which resulted in a higher euro major currency pair.

The EUR/USD pair rally as it bounced to the support area close to the 10-day moving average at 1.1836. The resistance was found near the weekly highs at 1.1961. There is a neutral momentum seen in the trend as the MACD was printed in black with a flat trajectory that could lead to a consolidation. The RSI index climbed higher because of the positive impetus in the market.